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Yours

Your watchlist.

The stories you do not want to be late to.

Since you last visitedLast seen 3d ago

Three things moved while you were away.

The shortlist of what changed on the things you track — one landed, one is forming, one shifted its footing.

Tracked topics

The themes you follow.

The currents you want to feel shift first.

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  • The compute buildout, data centers, and the capex supercycle.

  • The Fed, interest rates, and the long fight with inflation.

  • Growth, inflation, the dollar, and the state of the economy.

Tracked companies

The names you watch.

Every public word these companies say, read for what is forming.

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  • NVIDIANVDA

    Accelerated computing

  • Alphabet / GoogleGOOGL

    Search, cloud & models

  • OpenAI

    Frontier models & products

Story arcs you follow

The bigger arcs you are inside.

Living theses that connect many signals — followed, so you see each turn.

All stories
  • Open story: The AI Capex Supercycle
    Accelerating
    Story arc

    The AI Capex Supercycle

    The largest companies are spending on AI compute at unprecedented scale — and so far, demand keeps validating the bet rather than breaking it.

    7 signals
    Latest

    Huang raises the call: “we'll be short”

    Mar 17, 2026

    Matters next

    Next Nvidia earnings

  • Open story: The Fed’s Long War on Inflation
    Contested
    Story arc

    The Fed’s Long War on Inflation

    From “transitory” to a new hawkish chair, the Fed has spent years rebuilding credibility the hard way — and 2026 is testing it again.

    5 signals
    Latest

    A new, more hawkish chair

    7d ago

    Matters next

    Next CPI print

Saved signals

What you saw early.

Signals you filed before they settled. Mark your take, reorder by what matters most to you, or let one go.

Find signals
  • Open signal: Powell called inflation “transitory.” It wasn’t.
    Jerome Powell
    Didn’t hold up
    Monetary PolicyDovish

    Powell called inflation “transitory.” It wasn’t.

    We tend to use the word transitory to mean that it won't leave a permanent mark in the form of higher inflation. I think it's probably a good time to retire that word.
    Nov 30, 2021·2 receipts
    Your take
  • Open signal: The “$1 trillion of data centers” thesis.
    Jensen Huang
    Partly right
    AI InfrastructureBullish

    The “$1 trillion of data centers” thesis.

    The world builds about $1 trillion worth of data centers. In a few years, $1 trillion worth of data centers will be all accelerated computing.
    Aug 28, 2024·3 receipts
    Your take
  • Your take
  • Open signal: Huang called the AI “tipping point.” It held.
    Jensen Huang
    Played out
    AI InfrastructureBullish

    Huang called the AI “tipping point.” It held.

    Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point. Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries and nations.
    Feb 21, 2024·2 receipts
    Your take
  • Open signal: The “Year of Efficiency” that worked.
    Mark Zuckerberg
    Played out
    Big Tech CapexBullish

    The “Year of Efficiency” that worked.

    Our management theme for 2023 is the 'Year of Efficiency' and we're focused on becoming a stronger and more nimble organization.
    Feb 1, 2023·2 receipts
    Your take
Your calls

The predictions you put on the record.

Foresight, kept honest. See which calls the world confirmed, which faded, and which are still open.

  • Will matterConfirmedHorizon · 12 months

    The AI “tipping point” call

    Your call: The AI demand wave is structural, not a spike.

    Filed Mar 1, 2024·Resolved Feb 25, 2026
    The record

    Played out — Nvidia's data-center revenue quadrupled. You were early on this one.

  • Will fadeConfirmedHorizon · 18 months

    “Smarter than any human” by 2025

    Your call: The AGI-by-2025 timeline won't hold.

    Filed May 1, 2024·Resolved Jan 20, 2026
    The record

    Called it — end-2025 passed and the prediction slipped to 2026.

  • Will fadeMixedHorizon · 12 months

    The “Liberation Day” tariffs

    Your call: The tariffs won't survive contact with markets and the courts.

    Filed Apr 3, 2025·Resolved Feb 20, 2026
    The record

    The record split — struck down 6–3, but revenue did arrive first.

  • Will matterPendingHorizon · by 2027

    “At least $1 trillion through 2027”

    Your call: The $1T+ demand call is the real bull case.

    Filed Mar 18, 2026
  • Too early to tellPendingHorizon · 6 months

    Warsh’s debut: “deliver price stability”

    Your call: Whether the new chair actually delivers is unresolved.

    Filed Jun 17, 2026